CMBS Loan Losses Climb Sharply as Loss Severity Hits New High

CMBS Loan Losses Climb Sharply as Loss Severity Hits New High

Over the last 12 months, the largest single disposed loan amount in a month was $369.41 million in May 2024, on six loans. That month also had the largest losses incurred: $232.63 million, with a loss severity of 62.97%.

The highest loss severity percentage was in April 2024, with a disposed loan amount of $105.82 million on three obligations and losses of $86.22 million. February 2025 had the lowest losses incurred—$38.17 million—on seven loans with a disposed loan amount of $79.73 million and a loss severity of 47.87%.

The last 12 months saw a total of 188 disposed loans, with the amount totaling $2.05 billion. Losses incurred were $1.29 billion, with a 62.97% loss severity.

If restricted to only loans with a greater than 2% loss severity, the 12 months would include only 108 loans with a disposed loan amount of $1.96 billion and incurred losses of $1.29 billion, with a loss severity of 65.79%.

Across the 12 months with the highest loss severity of 81.47% and the lowest of 55.20% — only counting loans with losses with severities greater than 2% — the 12-month moving average was relatively flat. The high point was 65.97% in September 2024, and the lowest was 62.71% in April and May 2024.

Then there is the 12-month average disposed amounts for loans with losses of at least 2%. The highest of $369.41 million was in May 2024. The lowest was $47.79 million in February 2025. The 12-month average hit a high point of $296.84 million in July 2024, with a low of $163.74 million in March 2025.

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